Updated 2026-10-01 · refreshed monthly
Fair Value Gap (SMC) vs Trend Magic
Both strategies backtested with default parameters on the same 50 coins, daily bars since 2021, $10,000 and standard fees — then compared per coin and on unseen data. No cherry-picking: every shared coin counts.
Fair Value Gap (SMC) wins this matchup 43–7 across 50 shared coins. That's a description of one past period with default parameters — regimes move this scoreboard, which is why it refreshes monthly.
Fair Value Gap (SMC)🏆
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 43
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- 0.39
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 38
- Median return
- +375.3%
- Median max drawdown
- -35.6%
Trend Magic
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 7
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- 0.27
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 32
- Median return
- +110.8%
- Median max drawdown
- -35.5%
Coin by coin
| Coin | Fair Value Gap (SMC) | Trend Magic | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAVE | +1934.6% | +787.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ADA | +562.6% | +59.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ALGO | +452.6% | +46.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| APT | +271.2% | -22.6% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ARB | +154.0% | -3.8% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ATOM | +27.9% | +178.4% | Trend Magic |
| AVAX | +2798.6% | +99.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| AXS | +104.4% | -6.6% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| BNB | +262.0% | -49.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| BTC | -64.0% | -69.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| DOGE | +2237.7% | +33.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| DOT | +125.4% | -34.8% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| EGLD | +192.8% | +110.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ETC | +286.8% | +217.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ETH | +54.4% | +4.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| FET | +8335.3% | +1021.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| FIL | +59.4% | +11.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| FLOW | +283.1% | +110.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| GRT | +526.6% | +344.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| HBAR | +177.9% | +73.6% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ICP | +838.7% | +82.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| IMX | +1451.6% | +679.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| INJ | +659.1% | +199.8% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| JUP | +19.6% | +81.4% | Trend Magic |
| LDO | +524.6% | +209.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| LINK | +6.2% | +112.4% | Trend Magic |
| LTC | +81.0% | +16.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| MANA | +5438.8% | +590.0% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| MATIC | +342.7% | +244.6% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| MKR | +407.9% | +213.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| NEAR | +6105.1% | +312.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| OP | +640.1% | +172.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| PEPE | +2212.5% | +71.8% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| RENDER | +215.1% | +46.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| RUNE | +769.2% | +175.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SAND | +4267.6% | +746.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SEI | +454.2% | +57.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SHIB | +1305.8% | +81.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SOL | +83.7% | +0.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SUI | +159.7% | +168.3% | Trend Magic |
| THETA | +460.1% | +590.3% | Trend Magic |
| TIA | +204.5% | +230.0% | Trend Magic |
| TON | +9.1% | -5.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| TRX | +46.5% | +109.7% | Trend Magic |
| UNI | +1070.0% | +213.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| VET | +1275.7% | +283.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| WIF | +243.8% | +233.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| XLM | +847.4% | +169.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| XRP | +698.6% | +202.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| XTZ | +333.1% | +25.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
Returns are full-period (since 2021), default parameters, $10,000 starting balance. Click a ticker for the full per-coin breakdown.
Settle it on your own terms
Default parameters on daily bars is one arena. Test either strategy on your coin, your timeframe and your risk rules — free, with the same out-of-sample honesty check.
Auto-generated from real backtests of the stated past period with default parameters. Hypothetical results, not financial advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.