Updated every Monday
Every Monday we classify last week's market for BTC and ETH β trending, choppy, or volatility spike β from trend direction, realized volatility vs the 30-day baseline, and ADX. Below each verdict: which strategy styles have historically fit that regime, and which get chopped up.
Sustained uptrends have historically favored trend-following and breakout styles (SuperTrend, Donchian, EMA cross); counter-trend mean-reversion fades fight the tape and tend to underperform here.
Signal agreement: 60% β multiple independent signals agreeing raises confidence.
Sustained uptrends have historically favored trend-following and breakout styles (SuperTrend, Donchian, EMA cross); counter-trend mean-reversion fades fight the tape and tend to underperform here.
Signal agreement: 85% β multiple independent signals agreeing raises confidence.
Test a strategy against this market β free
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Run a free backtest βAuto-generated from public exchange data. Regime labels describe the past week; they are not predictions. Historical strategy-style fit is educational context, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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