Updated 2026-10-01 · refreshed monthly
Fair Value Gap (SMC) vs SuperTrend
Both strategies backtested with default parameters on the same 50 coins, daily bars since 2021, $10,000 and standard fees — then compared per coin and on unseen data. No cherry-picking: every shared coin counts.
Fair Value Gap (SMC) wins this matchup 44–6 across 50 shared coins. That's a description of one past period with default parameters — regimes move this scoreboard, which is why it refreshes monthly.
Fair Value Gap (SMC)🏆
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 44
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- 0.39
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 38
- Median return
- +375.3%
- Median max drawdown
- -35.6%
SuperTrend
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 6
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- 0.37
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 36
- Median return
- +74.4%
- Median max drawdown
- -19.5%
Coin by coin
| Coin | Fair Value Gap (SMC) | SuperTrend | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAVE | +1934.6% | +224.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ADA | +562.6% | +86.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ALGO | +452.6% | +97.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| APT | +271.2% | +61.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ARB | +154.0% | +18.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ATOM | +27.9% | -27.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| AVAX | +2798.6% | +69.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| AXS | +104.4% | +33.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| BNB | +262.0% | -1.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| BTC | -64.0% | +2.9% | SuperTrend |
| DOGE | +2237.7% | +589.8% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| DOT | +125.4% | +24.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| EGLD | +192.8% | +42.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ETC | +286.8% | +55.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ETH | +54.4% | -3.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| FET | +8335.3% | +115.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| FIL | +59.4% | +887.4% | SuperTrend |
| FLOW | +283.1% | +85.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| GRT | +526.6% | +269.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| HBAR | +177.9% | +295.1% | SuperTrend |
| ICP | +838.7% | +158.6% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| IMX | +1451.6% | +94.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| INJ | +659.1% | +55.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| JUP | +19.6% | +57.0% | SuperTrend |
| LDO | +524.6% | +151.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| LINK | +6.2% | -38.6% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| LTC | +81.0% | -17.6% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| MANA | +5438.8% | +157.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| MATIC | +342.7% | -11.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| MKR | +407.9% | +253.8% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| NEAR | +6105.1% | +79.6% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| OP | +640.1% | +91.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| PEPE | +2212.5% | +119.8% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| RENDER | +215.1% | +63.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| RUNE | +769.2% | +108.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SAND | +4267.6% | +167.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SEI | +454.2% | +18.0% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SHIB | +1305.8% | +169.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SOL | +83.7% | +228.0% | SuperTrend |
| SUI | +159.7% | +47.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| THETA | +460.1% | +59.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| TIA | +204.5% | +53.0% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| TON | +9.1% | +19.6% | SuperTrend |
| TRX | +46.5% | +27.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| UNI | +1070.0% | +139.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| VET | +1275.7% | +97.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| WIF | +243.8% | +64.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| XLM | +847.4% | +199.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| XRP | +698.6% | +130.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| XTZ | +333.1% | +52.0% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
Returns are full-period (since 2021), default parameters, $10,000 starting balance. Click a ticker for the full per-coin breakdown.
Settle it on your own terms
Default parameters on daily bars is one arena. Test either strategy on your coin, your timeframe and your risk rules — free, with the same out-of-sample honesty check.
Auto-generated from real backtests of the stated past period with default parameters. Hypothetical results, not financial advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.