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Estadística

Standard deviation

Square root of variance — the most common volatility measure in trading.

Standard deviation is the square root of variance: the typical magnitude of deviation from the mean. In trading it is computed on a return series and serves as the canonical measure of volatility — the σ in Sharpe ratios, Bollinger Bands, and Black-Scholes.

Annualization scales σ by √N, where N is the number of periods per year (252 for daily trading days, ≈8,760 for hourly bars in 24/7 markets). The choice of N depends on the market schedule and the bar frequency of the source data.

Standard deviation assumes returns are roughly stationary and well-behaved. Real financial returns have fat tails — extreme moves happen more often than Gaussian theory predicts — so σ understates true tail risk.

Fórmula

σ = sqrt(Σ(x_i − x̄)^2 / (N − 1))   for a sample of size N

Ejemplo

Daily returns [0.01, -0.02, 0.00, 0.015, -0.005]. Mean = 0.0. σ ≈ 0.014 = 1.4%. Annualized σ ≈ 1.4% · √252 ≈ 22%.

Cómo Noon Barbari usa Standard deviation

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