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Bollinger band reversion strategyvsMACD trend with histogram filter strategy

Bollinger band reversion strategy: Fade a 2-sigma stretch below the mean and exit when price tags the middle band. · MACD trend with histogram filter strategy: Confirm an EMA-style cross with a widening histogram before committing capital.

Reversión a la mediaSolo largos

Bollinger band reversion strategy

Fade a 2-sigma stretch below the mean and exit when price tags the middle band.

MomentumSolo largos

MACD trend with histogram filter strategy

Confirm an EMA-style cross with a widening histogram before committing capital.

Indicadores

  • Bollinger Bands (period 20, σ × 2)
  • MACD (12 / 26 / 9)

Marcos temporales

15m1h4h
1h4h1d

Sesgo

Solo largos

Solo largos

Ajuste al mercado

Range-bound

Accelerating moves

Reglas de entrada

  • Enter long when close is below the lower Bollinger band — a 2σ stretch below the 20-bar mean.
  • Single position; 3-bar cooldown after exit.
  • MACD line crosses above its signal line AND
  • Histogram is positive — momentum is widening, not contracting.

Reglas de salida

  • Exit when close pushes back above the middle band.
  • Hard 3% stop-loss; 2% trailing stop locks in any reversion gain.
  • MACD line crosses back below the signal line.
  • Hard 4% stop; 3% trailing stop on the runner.

Comportamiento esperado

Smooth equity curve in low-volatility regimes with frequent small wins. Sharp drawdowns when a trend extends and price stays pinned below the lower band — the strategy expects mean reversion that may not arrive.

Slower than a pure EMA cross — fewer false starts, later entries. Equity curve shows fewer trades, smoother PnL, occasional missed early-trend acceleration.

Complejidad

1 ind · 2 entry · 2 exitBalanced
1 ind · 2 entry · 2 exitBalanced

¿Cuál es la adecuada para ti?

Derivado del sesgo, marco temporal y perfil de indicadores de cada estrategia — no es una previsión de backtest.

Cuándo elegir Bollinger band reversion strategy

  • You expect range-bound — the thesis is "Fade a 2-sigma stretch below the mean and exit when price tags the middle band."
  • You want a long-only bot on 15m–4h candles with a balanced rule-set.
  • You're comfortable monitoring 1 indicator (Bollinger Bands (period 20, σ × 2)).

Fade a 2-sigma stretch below the mean and exit when price tags the middle band.

Cuándo elegir MACD trend with histogram filter strategy

  • You expect accelerating moves — the thesis is "Confirm an EMA-style cross with a widening histogram before committing capital."
  • You want a long-only bot on 1h–1d candles with a balanced rule-set.
  • You're comfortable monitoring 1 indicator (MACD (12 / 26 / 9)).

Confirm an EMA-style cross with a widening histogram before committing capital.

Bollinger band reversion strategy

Fade a 2-sigma stretch below the mean and exit when price tags the middle band.

MACD trend with histogram filter strategy

Confirm an EMA-style cross with a widening histogram before committing capital.

Comparaciones relacionadas

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