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Bollinger band reversion strategyvsFair Value Gap strategy

Bollinger band reversion strategy: Fade a 2-sigma stretch below the mean and exit when price tags the middle band. Β· Fair Value Gap strategy: Buy the imbalance bar of a fresh bullish FVG; short the mirror. Exit when the gap fills.

Mean reversionLong only

Bollinger band reversion strategy

Fade a 2-sigma stretch below the mean and exit when price tags the middle band.

Mean reversionLong & short

Fair Value Gap strategy

Buy the imbalance bar of a fresh bullish FVG; short the mirror. Exit when the gap fills.

Indicators

  • Bollinger Bands (period 20, Οƒ Γ— 2)
  • Fair Value Gap (min gap 0.1%)

Timeframes

15m1h4h
5m15m1h4h

Bias

Long only

Long & short

Market fit

Range-bound

Range-bound

Entry rules

  • Enter long when close is below the lower Bollinger band β€” a 2Οƒ stretch below the 20-bar mean.
  • Single position; 3-bar cooldown after exit.
  • Long on the bar a bullish FVG opens (bull_signal > 0).
  • Short on a bearish FVG.

Exit rules

  • Exit when close pushes back above the middle band.
  • Hard 3% stop-loss; 2% trailing stop locks in any reversion gain.
  • Position closes the bar the gap is filled (rebalanced).
  • 4% trailing stop, 3-bar cooldown.

Expected behavior

Smooth equity curve in low-volatility regimes with frequent small wins. Sharp drawdowns when a trend extends and price stays pinned below the lower band β€” the strategy expects mean reversion that may not arrive.

Momentum-into-imbalance β€” fires on explosive bars, exits when the imbalance reverts. Equity curve is choppy with frequent small trades; works best when price respects imbalances and gives the bot a chance to ride the displacement.

Complexity

1 ind Β· 2 entry Β· 2 exitBalanced
1 ind Β· 2 entry Β· 2 exitBalanced

Which one is right for you?

Derived from the bias, timeframe and indicator profile of each strategy β€” not a back-test forecast.

When to pick Bollinger band reversion strategy

  • You expect range-bound β€” the thesis is "Fade a 2-sigma stretch below the mean and exit when price tags the middle band."
  • You want a long-only bot on 15m–4h candles with a balanced rule-set.
  • You're comfortable monitoring 1 indicator (Bollinger Bands (period 20, Οƒ Γ— 2)).

Fade a 2-sigma stretch below the mean and exit when price tags the middle band.

When to pick Fair Value Gap strategy

  • You expect range-bound β€” the thesis is "Buy the imbalance bar of a fresh bullish FVG; short the mirror. Exit when the gap fills."
  • You want a long & short bot on 5m–4h candles with a balanced rule-set.
  • You're comfortable monitoring 1 indicator (Fair Value Gap (min gap 0.1%)).

Buy the imbalance bar of a fresh bullish FVG; short the mirror. Exit when the gap fills.

Bollinger band reversion strategy

Fade a 2-sigma stretch below the mean and exit when price tags the middle band.

Fair Value Gap strategy

Buy the imbalance bar of a fresh bullish FVG; short the mirror. Exit when the gap fills.

Related comparisons

Other pairings that involve one of these strategies.

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