Updated 2026-10-01 · refreshed monthly
MACD Trend vs RSI Mean Reversion
Both strategies backtested with default parameters on the same 50 coins, daily bars since 2021, $10,000 and standard fees — then compared per coin and on unseen data. No cherry-picking: every shared coin counts.
MACD Trend wins this matchup 28–21 across 50 shared coins. That's a description of one past period with default parameters — regimes move this scoreboard, which is why it refreshes monthly.
MACD Trend🏆
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 28
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- -0.23
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 18
- Median return
- -2.6%
- Median max drawdown
- -43.0%
RSI Mean Reversion
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 21
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- -0.25
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 15
- Median return
- -19.0%
- Median max drawdown
- -30.9%
1 coins were ties (return gap under 0.5 points).
Coin by coin
| Coin | MACD Trend | RSI Mean Reversion | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAVE | -41.2% | -19.9% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| ADA | +2.2% | -22.6% | MACD Trend |
| ALGO | -20.6% | -5.0% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| APT | -5.7% | -32.9% | MACD Trend |
| ARB | -33.6% | -33.0% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| ATOM | -33.5% | -0.7% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| AVAX | +33.9% | -12.3% | MACD Trend |
| AXS | +69.1% | -39.3% | MACD Trend |
| BNB | +16.8% | -17.4% | MACD Trend |
| BTC | -40.2% | +32.8% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| DOGE | +3.9% | +17.0% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| DOT | -2.5% | +14.9% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| EGLD | -10.7% | -19.9% | MACD Trend |
| ETC | -2.8% | -27.4% | MACD Trend |
| ETH | -35.7% | -12.0% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| FET | +0.8% | -31.6% | MACD Trend |
| FIL | -27.2% | +24.3% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| FLOW | -28.9% | -11.1% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| GRT | -23.6% | -31.8% | MACD Trend |
| HBAR | +25.2% | -28.5% | MACD Trend |
| ICP | +43.3% | -18.5% | MACD Trend |
| IMX | -0.9% | -42.2% | MACD Trend |
| INJ | +15.5% | -13.5% | MACD Trend |
| JUP | +34.7% | +5.0% | MACD Trend |
| LDO | -31.9% | -31.5% | — |
| LINK | -34.2% | -28.6% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| LTC | -33.5% | -23.8% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| MANA | -44.9% | -27.6% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| MATIC | +94.6% | -8.1% | MACD Trend |
| MKR | +37.5% | -16.1% | MACD Trend |
| NEAR | +95.0% | -34.0% | MACD Trend |
| OP | +15.0% | -35.1% | MACD Trend |
| PEPE | +52.7% | -1.7% | MACD Trend |
| RENDER | -19.6% | -17.3% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| RUNE | +105.5% | -7.8% | MACD Trend |
| SAND | -59.7% | -28.4% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| SEI | -50.0% | -24.8% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| SHIB | 0.0% | -26.6% | MACD Trend |
| SOL | +11.6% | -31.8% | MACD Trend |
| SUI | -47.9% | -21.3% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| THETA | -50.5% | -22.3% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| TIA | +25.5% | -9.0% | MACD Trend |
| TON | -6.8% | -10.7% | MACD Trend |
| TRX | +9.7% | +15.1% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| UNI | +9.4% | -33.3% | MACD Trend |
| VET | +26.3% | -9.1% | MACD Trend |
| WIF | +94.1% | -19.6% | MACD Trend |
| XLM | -22.1% | -4.7% | RSI Mean Reversion |
| XRP | -2.9% | -13.5% | MACD Trend |
| XTZ | -18.9% | -17.5% | RSI Mean Reversion |
Returns are full-period (since 2021), default parameters, $10,000 starting balance. Click a ticker for the full per-coin breakdown.
Settle it on your own terms
Default parameters on daily bars is one arena. Test either strategy on your coin, your timeframe and your risk rules — free, with the same out-of-sample honesty check.
Auto-generated from real backtests of the stated past period with default parameters. Hypothetical results, not financial advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.