Updated 2026-10-01 · refreshed monthly
MACD Trend vs Order Block (SMC)
Both strategies backtested with default parameters on the same 50 coins, daily bars since 2021, $10,000 and standard fees — then compared per coin and on unseen data. No cherry-picking: every shared coin counts.
Order Block (SMC) wins this matchup 35–15 across 50 shared coins. That's a description of one past period with default parameters — regimes move this scoreboard, which is why it refreshes monthly.
MACD Trend
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 15
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- -0.23
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 18
- Median return
- -2.6%
- Median max drawdown
- -43.0%
Order Block (SMC)🏆
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 35
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- -0.15
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 21
- Median return
- +15.7%
- Median max drawdown
- -21.3%
Coin by coin
| Coin | MACD Trend | Order Block (SMC) | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAVE | -41.2% | +97.1% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ADA | +2.2% | -0.7% | MACD Trend |
| ALGO | -20.6% | +8.0% | Order Block (SMC) |
| APT | -5.7% | +15.5% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ARB | -33.6% | +9.2% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ATOM | -33.5% | +24.5% | Order Block (SMC) |
| AVAX | +33.9% | +24.1% | MACD Trend |
| AXS | +69.1% | +190.3% | Order Block (SMC) |
| BNB | +16.8% | -19.6% | MACD Trend |
| BTC | -40.2% | -8.9% | Order Block (SMC) |
| DOGE | +3.9% | +53.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| DOT | -2.5% | +18.5% | Order Block (SMC) |
| EGLD | -10.7% | +8.5% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ETC | -2.8% | +20.2% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ETH | -35.7% | +63.4% | Order Block (SMC) |
| FET | +0.8% | -38.4% | MACD Trend |
| FIL | -27.2% | -9.1% | Order Block (SMC) |
| FLOW | -28.9% | +53.7% | Order Block (SMC) |
| GRT | -23.6% | +83.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| HBAR | +25.2% | +52.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ICP | +43.3% | +35.2% | MACD Trend |
| IMX | -0.9% | +15.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| INJ | +15.5% | +88.3% | Order Block (SMC) |
| JUP | +34.7% | +55.9% | Order Block (SMC) |
| LDO | -31.9% | -4.2% | Order Block (SMC) |
| LINK | -34.2% | +57.7% | Order Block (SMC) |
| LTC | -33.5% | -8.9% | Order Block (SMC) |
| MANA | -44.9% | -9.7% | Order Block (SMC) |
| MATIC | +94.6% | -13.5% | MACD Trend |
| MKR | +37.5% | +7.3% | MACD Trend |
| NEAR | +95.0% | +31.1% | MACD Trend |
| OP | +15.0% | -10.8% | MACD Trend |
| PEPE | +52.7% | +25.8% | MACD Trend |
| RENDER | -19.6% | -1.5% | Order Block (SMC) |
| RUNE | +105.5% | -43.1% | MACD Trend |
| SAND | -59.7% | +76.6% | Order Block (SMC) |
| SEI | -50.0% | +13.7% | Order Block (SMC) |
| SHIB | 0.0% | +62.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| SOL | +11.6% | +10.1% | MACD Trend |
| SUI | -47.9% | +48.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| THETA | -50.5% | +3.0% | Order Block (SMC) |
| TIA | +25.5% | +0.9% | MACD Trend |
| TON | -6.8% | +15.4% | Order Block (SMC) |
| TRX | +9.7% | +26.4% | Order Block (SMC) |
| UNI | +9.4% | +17.2% | Order Block (SMC) |
| VET | +26.3% | -27.9% | MACD Trend |
| WIF | +94.1% | -5.4% | MACD Trend |
| XLM | -22.1% | +8.7% | Order Block (SMC) |
| XRP | -2.9% | +37.5% | Order Block (SMC) |
| XTZ | -18.9% | +99.7% | Order Block (SMC) |
Returns are full-period (since 2021), default parameters, $10,000 starting balance. Click a ticker for the full per-coin breakdown.
Settle it on your own terms
Default parameters on daily bars is one arena. Test either strategy on your coin, your timeframe and your risk rules — free, with the same out-of-sample honesty check.
Auto-generated from real backtests of the stated past period with default parameters. Hypothetical results, not financial advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.