Updated 2026-10-01 · refreshed monthly
EMA Crossover vs MACD Trend
Both strategies backtested with default parameters on the same 50 coins, daily bars since 2021, $10,000 and standard fees — then compared per coin and on unseen data. No cherry-picking: every shared coin counts.
EMA Crossover wins this matchup 34–16 across 50 shared coins. That's a description of one past period with default parameters — regimes move this scoreboard, which is why it refreshes monthly.
EMA Crossover🏆
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 34
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- 0.14
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 27
- Median return
- +19.7%
- Median max drawdown
- -17.0%
MACD Trend
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 16
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- -0.23
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 18
- Median return
- -2.6%
- Median max drawdown
- -43.0%
Coin by coin
| Coin | EMA Crossover | MACD Trend | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAVE | +67.6% | -41.2% | EMA Crossover |
| ADA | +8.0% | +2.2% | EMA Crossover |
| ALGO | +48.1% | -20.6% | EMA Crossover |
| APT | +6.1% | -5.7% | EMA Crossover |
| ARB | +26.9% | -33.6% | EMA Crossover |
| ATOM | +3.3% | -33.5% | EMA Crossover |
| AVAX | +19.4% | +33.9% | MACD Trend |
| AXS | +70.4% | +69.1% | EMA Crossover |
| BNB | -2.7% | +16.8% | MACD Trend |
| BTC | +3.3% | -40.2% | EMA Crossover |
| DOGE | +72.2% | +3.9% | EMA Crossover |
| DOT | -14.7% | -2.5% | MACD Trend |
| EGLD | +7.2% | -10.7% | EMA Crossover |
| ETC | +28.9% | -2.8% | EMA Crossover |
| ETH | -25.1% | -35.7% | EMA Crossover |
| FET | +203.8% | +0.8% | EMA Crossover |
| FIL | +12.6% | -27.2% | EMA Crossover |
| FLOW | -29.6% | -28.9% | MACD Trend |
| GRT | +33.0% | -23.6% | EMA Crossover |
| HBAR | +52.9% | +25.2% | EMA Crossover |
| ICP | +38.3% | +43.3% | MACD Trend |
| IMX | +42.4% | -0.9% | EMA Crossover |
| INJ | +20.3% | +15.5% | EMA Crossover |
| JUP | -1.3% | +34.7% | MACD Trend |
| LDO | +3.6% | -31.9% | EMA Crossover |
| LINK | +34.8% | -34.2% | EMA Crossover |
| LTC | +0.1% | -33.5% | EMA Crossover |
| MANA | +20.6% | -44.9% | EMA Crossover |
| MATIC | -26.5% | +94.6% | MACD Trend |
| MKR | +20.1% | +37.5% | MACD Trend |
| NEAR | +54.3% | +95.0% | MACD Trend |
| OP | +5.8% | +15.0% | MACD Trend |
| PEPE | +30.7% | +52.7% | MACD Trend |
| RENDER | +28.5% | -19.6% | EMA Crossover |
| RUNE | +27.7% | +105.5% | MACD Trend |
| SAND | -9.9% | -59.7% | EMA Crossover |
| SEI | -1.7% | -50.0% | EMA Crossover |
| SHIB | +1.4% | 0.0% | EMA Crossover |
| SOL | +42.7% | +11.6% | EMA Crossover |
| SUI | +64.9% | -47.9% | EMA Crossover |
| THETA | +5.1% | -50.5% | EMA Crossover |
| TIA | +6.3% | +25.5% | MACD Trend |
| TON | -4.4% | -6.8% | EMA Crossover |
| TRX | +27.2% | +9.7% | EMA Crossover |
| UNI | -7.3% | +9.4% | MACD Trend |
| VET | +42.7% | +26.3% | EMA Crossover |
| WIF | +67.3% | +94.1% | MACD Trend |
| XLM | +37.4% | -22.1% | EMA Crossover |
| XRP | -9.6% | -2.9% | MACD Trend |
| XTZ | -11.1% | -18.9% | EMA Crossover |
Returns are full-period (since 2021), default parameters, $10,000 starting balance. Click a ticker for the full per-coin breakdown.
Settle it on your own terms
Default parameters on daily bars is one arena. Test either strategy on your coin, your timeframe and your risk rules — free, with the same out-of-sample honesty check.
Auto-generated from real backtests of the stated past period with default parameters. Hypothetical results, not financial advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.