Updated 2026-07-09 · refreshed monthly
EMA Crossover vs Fair Value Gap (SMC)
Both strategies backtested with default parameters on the same 50 coins, daily bars since 2021, $10,000 and standard fees — then compared per coin and on unseen data. No cherry-picking: every shared coin counts.
Fair Value Gap (SMC) wins this matchup 48–2 across 50 shared coins. That's a description of one past period with default parameters — regimes move this scoreboard, which is why it refreshes monthly.
EMA Crossover
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 2
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- -0.06
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 23
- Median return
- +10.1%
- Median max drawdown
- -16.8%
Fair Value Gap (SMC)🏆
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 48
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- 0.43
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 41
- Median return
- +370.1%
- Median max drawdown
- -35.3%
Coin by coin
| Coin | EMA Crossover | Fair Value Gap (SMC) | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAVE | +41.0% | +1942.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ADA | +9.5% | +508.0% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ALGO | +45.0% | +431.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| APT | -11.1% | +269.0% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ARB | +15.9% | +115.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ATOM | +5.0% | +24.0% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| AVAX | +15.0% | +2251.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| AXS | +68.3% | +121.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| BNB | -6.4% | +271.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| BTC | +6.3% | -60.0% | EMA Crossover |
| DOGE | +52.5% | +2096.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| DOT | -18.9% | +106.0% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| EGLD | -7.7% | +171.0% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ETC | +23.4% | +245.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ETH | -24.0% | +56.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| FET | +194.2% | +9307.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| FIL | +10.8% | +67.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| FLOW | -27.9% | +267.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| GRT | +34.6% | +505.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| HBAR | +46.4% | +165.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| ICP | +43.6% | +697.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| IMX | +38.1% | +1445.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| INJ | +9.4% | +684.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| JUP | +1.9% | +17.0% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| LDO | -1.3% | +485.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| LINK | +35.9% | -1.8% | EMA Crossover |
| LTC | -9.8% | +67.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| MANA | +18.2% | +5395.0% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| MATIC | -26.5% | +342.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| MKR | +20.1% | +407.9% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| NEAR | +43.8% | +4882.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| OP | -4.2% | +594.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| PEPE | +3.0% | +1633.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| RENDER | +28.7% | +202.4% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| RUNE | +31.0% | +706.6% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SAND | -9.0% | +3982.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SEI | -8.2% | +398.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SHIB | -7.8% | +1191.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SOL | +45.6% | +104.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| SUI | +49.0% | +117.3% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| THETA | +7.0% | +388.7% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| TIA | +4.0% | +183.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| TON | -4.4% | +9.1% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| TRX | +30.0% | +41.6% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| UNI | -11.6% | +924.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| VET | +33.1% | +1058.6% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| WIF | +51.3% | +221.2% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| XLM | +29.9% | +868.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| XRP | -18.9% | +728.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
| XTZ | -11.8% | +351.5% | Fair Value Gap (SMC) |
Returns are full-period (since 2021), default parameters, $10,000 starting balance. Click a ticker for the full per-coin breakdown.
Settle it on your own terms
Default parameters on daily bars is one arena. Test either strategy on your coin, your timeframe and your risk rules — free, with the same out-of-sample honesty check.
Auto-generated from real backtests of the stated past period with default parameters. Hypothetical results, not financial advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.