Updated 2026-10-01 · refreshed monthly
SMA Breakout vs SuperTrend
Both strategies backtested with default parameters on the same 50 coins, daily bars since 2021, $10,000 and standard fees — then compared per coin and on unseen data. No cherry-picking: every shared coin counts.
SuperTrend wins this matchup 44–6 across 50 shared coins. That's a description of one past period with default parameters — regimes move this scoreboard, which is why it refreshes monthly.
SMA Breakout
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 6
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- -0.27
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 12
- Median return
- -21.8%
- Median max drawdown
- -44.8%
SuperTrend🏆
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 44
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- 0.37
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 36
- Median return
- +74.4%
- Median max drawdown
- -19.5%
Coin by coin
| Coin | SMA Breakout | SuperTrend | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAVE | -21.9% | +224.3% | SuperTrend |
| ADA | -16.5% | +86.3% | SuperTrend |
| ALGO | -57.4% | +97.3% | SuperTrend |
| APT | +23.3% | +61.4% | SuperTrend |
| ARB | -25.5% | +18.5% | SuperTrend |
| ATOM | -39.5% | -27.1% | SuperTrend |
| AVAX | -28.8% | +69.2% | SuperTrend |
| AXS | +322.1% | +33.5% | SMA Breakout |
| BNB | -29.2% | -1.9% | SuperTrend |
| BTC | -38.4% | +2.9% | SuperTrend |
| DOGE | +183.9% | +589.8% | SuperTrend |
| DOT | -39.2% | +24.3% | SuperTrend |
| EGLD | +29.1% | +42.2% | SuperTrend |
| ETC | -39.1% | +55.7% | SuperTrend |
| ETH | -47.4% | -3.3% | SuperTrend |
| FET | +235.9% | +115.5% | SMA Breakout |
| FIL | -58.8% | +887.4% | SuperTrend |
| FLOW | -47.5% | +85.7% | SuperTrend |
| GRT | -54.0% | +269.7% | SuperTrend |
| HBAR | -30.2% | +295.1% | SuperTrend |
| ICP | +15.2% | +158.6% | SuperTrend |
| IMX | +112.9% | +94.2% | SMA Breakout |
| INJ | +196.5% | +55.2% | SMA Breakout |
| JUP | +4.9% | +57.0% | SuperTrend |
| LDO | +37.0% | +151.2% | SuperTrend |
| LINK | -45.8% | -38.6% | SuperTrend |
| LTC | -35.3% | -17.6% | SuperTrend |
| MANA | -52.0% | +157.7% | SuperTrend |
| MATIC | -30.0% | -11.5% | SuperTrend |
| MKR | -16.6% | +253.8% | SuperTrend |
| NEAR | -3.9% | +79.6% | SuperTrend |
| OP | +132.2% | +91.3% | SMA Breakout |
| PEPE | +32.9% | +119.8% | SuperTrend |
| RENDER | -13.4% | +63.1% | SuperTrend |
| RUNE | +96.7% | +108.9% | SuperTrend |
| SAND | -37.4% | +167.4% | SuperTrend |
| SEI | +0.8% | +18.0% | SuperTrend |
| SHIB | -34.6% | +169.9% | SuperTrend |
| SOL | -44.1% | +228.0% | SuperTrend |
| SUI | +76.1% | +47.1% | SMA Breakout |
| THETA | -30.7% | +59.4% | SuperTrend |
| TIA | -21.8% | +53.0% | SuperTrend |
| TON | -23.2% | +19.6% | SuperTrend |
| TRX | -4.3% | +27.1% | SuperTrend |
| UNI | -39.6% | +139.1% | SuperTrend |
| VET | -70.8% | +97.2% | SuperTrend |
| WIF | -2.1% | +64.4% | SuperTrend |
| XLM | -10.4% | +199.7% | SuperTrend |
| XRP | -21.1% | +130.5% | SuperTrend |
| XTZ | +23.4% | +52.0% | SuperTrend |
Returns are full-period (since 2021), default parameters, $10,000 starting balance. Click a ticker for the full per-coin breakdown.
Settle it on your own terms
Default parameters on daily bars is one arena. Test either strategy on your coin, your timeframe and your risk rules — free, with the same out-of-sample honesty check.
Auto-generated from real backtests of the stated past period with default parameters. Hypothetical results, not financial advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.