Updated 2026-10-01 · refreshed monthly
SMA Breakout vs EMA Crossover
Both strategies backtested with default parameters on the same 50 coins, daily bars since 2021, $10,000 and standard fees — then compared per coin and on unseen data. No cherry-picking: every shared coin counts.
EMA Crossover wins this matchup 35–15 across 50 shared coins. That's a description of one past period with default parameters — regimes move this scoreboard, which is why it refreshes monthly.
SMA Breakout
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 15
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- -0.27
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 12
- Median return
- -21.8%
- Median max drawdown
- -44.8%
EMA Crossover🏆
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 35
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- 0.14
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 27
- Median return
- +19.7%
- Median max drawdown
- -17.0%
Coin by coin
| Coin | SMA Breakout | EMA Crossover | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAVE | -21.9% | +67.6% | EMA Crossover |
| ADA | -16.5% | +8.0% | EMA Crossover |
| ALGO | -57.4% | +48.1% | EMA Crossover |
| APT | +23.3% | +6.1% | SMA Breakout |
| ARB | -25.5% | +26.9% | EMA Crossover |
| ATOM | -39.5% | +3.3% | EMA Crossover |
| AVAX | -28.8% | +19.4% | EMA Crossover |
| AXS | +322.1% | +70.4% | SMA Breakout |
| BNB | -29.2% | -2.7% | EMA Crossover |
| BTC | -38.4% | +3.3% | EMA Crossover |
| DOGE | +183.9% | +72.2% | SMA Breakout |
| DOT | -39.2% | -14.7% | EMA Crossover |
| EGLD | +29.1% | +7.2% | SMA Breakout |
| ETC | -39.1% | +28.9% | EMA Crossover |
| ETH | -47.4% | -25.1% | EMA Crossover |
| FET | +235.9% | +203.8% | SMA Breakout |
| FIL | -58.8% | +12.6% | EMA Crossover |
| FLOW | -47.5% | -29.6% | EMA Crossover |
| GRT | -54.0% | +33.0% | EMA Crossover |
| HBAR | -30.2% | +52.9% | EMA Crossover |
| ICP | +15.2% | +38.3% | EMA Crossover |
| IMX | +112.9% | +42.4% | SMA Breakout |
| INJ | +196.5% | +20.3% | SMA Breakout |
| JUP | +4.9% | -1.3% | SMA Breakout |
| LDO | +37.0% | +3.6% | SMA Breakout |
| LINK | -45.8% | +34.8% | EMA Crossover |
| LTC | -35.3% | +0.1% | EMA Crossover |
| MANA | -52.0% | +20.6% | EMA Crossover |
| MATIC | -30.0% | -26.5% | EMA Crossover |
| MKR | -16.6% | +20.1% | EMA Crossover |
| NEAR | -3.9% | +54.3% | EMA Crossover |
| OP | +132.2% | +5.8% | SMA Breakout |
| PEPE | +32.9% | +30.7% | SMA Breakout |
| RENDER | -13.4% | +28.5% | EMA Crossover |
| RUNE | +96.7% | +27.7% | SMA Breakout |
| SAND | -37.4% | -9.9% | EMA Crossover |
| SEI | +0.8% | -1.7% | SMA Breakout |
| SHIB | -34.6% | +1.4% | EMA Crossover |
| SOL | -44.1% | +42.7% | EMA Crossover |
| SUI | +76.1% | +64.9% | SMA Breakout |
| THETA | -30.7% | +5.1% | EMA Crossover |
| TIA | -21.8% | +6.3% | EMA Crossover |
| TON | -23.2% | -4.4% | EMA Crossover |
| TRX | -4.3% | +27.2% | EMA Crossover |
| UNI | -39.6% | -7.3% | EMA Crossover |
| VET | -70.8% | +42.7% | EMA Crossover |
| WIF | -2.1% | +67.3% | EMA Crossover |
| XLM | -10.4% | +37.4% | EMA Crossover |
| XRP | -21.1% | -9.6% | EMA Crossover |
| XTZ | +23.4% | -11.1% | SMA Breakout |
Returns are full-period (since 2021), default parameters, $10,000 starting balance. Click a ticker for the full per-coin breakdown.
Settle it on your own terms
Default parameters on daily bars is one arena. Test either strategy on your coin, your timeframe and your risk rules — free, with the same out-of-sample honesty check.
Auto-generated from real backtests of the stated past period with default parameters. Hypothetical results, not financial advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.