Updated 2026-10-01 · refreshed monthly
Bollinger Reversion vs Order Block (SMC)
Both strategies backtested with default parameters on the same 50 coins, daily bars since 2021, $10,000 and standard fees — then compared per coin and on unseen data. No cherry-picking: every shared coin counts.
Order Block (SMC) wins this matchup 39–9 across 50 shared coins. That's a description of one past period with default parameters — regimes move this scoreboard, which is why it refreshes monthly.
Bollinger Reversion
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 9
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- -0.08
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 17
- Median return
- -3.4%
- Median max drawdown
- -10.1%
Order Block (SMC)🏆
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 39
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- -0.15
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 21
- Median return
- +15.7%
- Median max drawdown
- -21.3%
2 coins were ties (return gap under 0.5 points).
Coin by coin
| Coin | Bollinger Reversion | Order Block (SMC) | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAVE | -5.2% | +97.1% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ADA | -8.1% | -0.7% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ALGO | +0.3% | +8.0% | Order Block (SMC) |
| APT | +5.5% | +15.5% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ARB | +0.0% | +9.2% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ATOM | -5.0% | +24.5% | Order Block (SMC) |
| AVAX | -8.4% | +24.1% | Order Block (SMC) |
| AXS | -12.0% | +190.3% | Order Block (SMC) |
| BNB | +3.4% | -19.6% | Bollinger Reversion |
| BTC | -6.7% | -8.9% | Bollinger Reversion |
| DOGE | +9.8% | +53.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| DOT | -2.0% | +18.5% | Order Block (SMC) |
| EGLD | -9.8% | +8.5% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ETC | -11.3% | +20.2% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ETH | -6.0% | +63.4% | Order Block (SMC) |
| FET | -2.7% | -38.4% | Bollinger Reversion |
| FIL | +1.1% | -9.1% | Bollinger Reversion |
| FLOW | -4.4% | +53.7% | Order Block (SMC) |
| GRT | -17.3% | +83.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| HBAR | -15.8% | +52.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| ICP | +2.6% | +35.2% | Order Block (SMC) |
| IMX | -4.1% | +15.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| INJ | +4.0% | +88.3% | Order Block (SMC) |
| JUP | -3.7% | +55.9% | Order Block (SMC) |
| LDO | +6.8% | -4.2% | Bollinger Reversion |
| LINK | +5.7% | +57.7% | Order Block (SMC) |
| LTC | -6.4% | -8.9% | Bollinger Reversion |
| MANA | -3.1% | -9.7% | Bollinger Reversion |
| MATIC | -13.8% | -13.5% | — |
| MKR | -10.0% | +7.3% | Order Block (SMC) |
| NEAR | -2.3% | +31.1% | Order Block (SMC) |
| OP | -13.8% | -10.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| PEPE | +4.0% | +25.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| RENDER | -6.4% | -1.5% | Order Block (SMC) |
| RUNE | +3.0% | -43.1% | Bollinger Reversion |
| SAND | -0.0% | +76.6% | Order Block (SMC) |
| SEI | +2.1% | +13.7% | Order Block (SMC) |
| SHIB | -0.6% | +62.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| SOL | +1.8% | +10.1% | Order Block (SMC) |
| SUI | -1.8% | +48.8% | Order Block (SMC) |
| THETA | -4.0% | +3.0% | Order Block (SMC) |
| TIA | +1.0% | +0.9% | — |
| TON | -7.2% | +15.4% | Order Block (SMC) |
| TRX | -5.5% | +26.4% | Order Block (SMC) |
| UNI | -0.0% | +17.2% | Order Block (SMC) |
| VET | -10.6% | -27.9% | Bollinger Reversion |
| WIF | -6.8% | -5.4% | Order Block (SMC) |
| XLM | +1.6% | +8.7% | Order Block (SMC) |
| XRP | +18.4% | +37.5% | Order Block (SMC) |
| XTZ | -14.1% | +99.7% | Order Block (SMC) |
Returns are full-period (since 2021), default parameters, $10,000 starting balance. Click a ticker for the full per-coin breakdown.
Settle it on your own terms
Default parameters on daily bars is one arena. Test either strategy on your coin, your timeframe and your risk rules — free, with the same out-of-sample honesty check.
Auto-generated from real backtests of the stated past period with default parameters. Hypothetical results, not financial advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.