Updated 2026-10-01 · refreshed monthly
Bollinger Reversion vs EMA Crossover
Both strategies backtested with default parameters on the same 50 coins, daily bars since 2021, $10,000 and standard fees — then compared per coin and on unseen data. No cherry-picking: every shared coin counts.
EMA Crossover wins this matchup 40–10 across 50 shared coins. That's a description of one past period with default parameters — regimes move this scoreboard, which is why it refreshes monthly.
Bollinger Reversion
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 10
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- -0.08
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 17
- Median return
- -3.4%
- Median max drawdown
- -10.1%
EMA Crossover🏆
- Coins won (full-period return)
- 40
- Median out-of-sample Sharpe
- 0.14
- Coins where OOS Sharpe stayed positive
- 27
- Median return
- +19.7%
- Median max drawdown
- -17.0%
Coin by coin
| Coin | Bollinger Reversion | EMA Crossover | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAVE | -5.2% | +67.6% | EMA Crossover |
| ADA | -8.1% | +8.0% | EMA Crossover |
| ALGO | +0.3% | +48.1% | EMA Crossover |
| APT | +5.5% | +6.1% | EMA Crossover |
| ARB | +0.0% | +26.9% | EMA Crossover |
| ATOM | -5.0% | +3.3% | EMA Crossover |
| AVAX | -8.4% | +19.4% | EMA Crossover |
| AXS | -12.0% | +70.4% | EMA Crossover |
| BNB | +3.4% | -2.7% | Bollinger Reversion |
| BTC | -6.7% | +3.3% | EMA Crossover |
| DOGE | +9.8% | +72.2% | EMA Crossover |
| DOT | -2.0% | -14.7% | Bollinger Reversion |
| EGLD | -9.8% | +7.2% | EMA Crossover |
| ETC | -11.3% | +28.9% | EMA Crossover |
| ETH | -6.0% | -25.1% | Bollinger Reversion |
| FET | -2.7% | +203.8% | EMA Crossover |
| FIL | +1.1% | +12.6% | EMA Crossover |
| FLOW | -4.4% | -29.6% | Bollinger Reversion |
| GRT | -17.3% | +33.0% | EMA Crossover |
| HBAR | -15.8% | +52.9% | EMA Crossover |
| ICP | +2.6% | +38.3% | EMA Crossover |
| IMX | -4.1% | +42.4% | EMA Crossover |
| INJ | +4.0% | +20.3% | EMA Crossover |
| JUP | -3.7% | -1.3% | EMA Crossover |
| LDO | +6.8% | +3.6% | Bollinger Reversion |
| LINK | +5.7% | +34.8% | EMA Crossover |
| LTC | -6.4% | +0.1% | EMA Crossover |
| MANA | -3.1% | +20.6% | EMA Crossover |
| MATIC | -13.8% | -26.5% | Bollinger Reversion |
| MKR | -10.0% | +20.1% | EMA Crossover |
| NEAR | -2.3% | +54.3% | EMA Crossover |
| OP | -13.8% | +5.8% | EMA Crossover |
| PEPE | +4.0% | +30.7% | EMA Crossover |
| RENDER | -6.4% | +28.5% | EMA Crossover |
| RUNE | +3.0% | +27.7% | EMA Crossover |
| SAND | -0.0% | -9.9% | Bollinger Reversion |
| SEI | +2.1% | -1.7% | Bollinger Reversion |
| SHIB | -0.6% | +1.4% | EMA Crossover |
| SOL | +1.8% | +42.7% | EMA Crossover |
| SUI | -1.8% | +64.9% | EMA Crossover |
| THETA | -4.0% | +5.1% | EMA Crossover |
| TIA | +1.0% | +6.3% | EMA Crossover |
| TON | -7.2% | -4.4% | EMA Crossover |
| TRX | -5.5% | +27.2% | EMA Crossover |
| UNI | -0.0% | -7.3% | Bollinger Reversion |
| VET | -10.6% | +42.7% | EMA Crossover |
| WIF | -6.8% | +67.3% | EMA Crossover |
| XLM | +1.6% | +37.4% | EMA Crossover |
| XRP | +18.4% | -9.6% | Bollinger Reversion |
| XTZ | -14.1% | -11.1% | EMA Crossover |
Returns are full-period (since 2021), default parameters, $10,000 starting balance. Click a ticker for the full per-coin breakdown.
Settle it on your own terms
Default parameters on daily bars is one arena. Test either strategy on your coin, your timeframe and your risk rules — free, with the same out-of-sample honesty check.
Auto-generated from real backtests of the stated past period with default parameters. Hypothetical results, not financial advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.