Updated 2026-07-09 · refreshed monthly
Trend Magic on BTC — backtest results
Default-parameter Trend Magic replayed on BTC/USDT daily bars from 2021-01-01 to 2026-07-08, starting from $10,000 with standard fees. ATR-anchored trend ribbon — ride the regime, flip on break.
- Strategy return
- -65.55%
- Buy & hold
- +112.36%
- Sharpe ratio
- -0.79
- Max drawdown
- 67.6%
- Trades
- 155
- Win rate
- 32%
Equity curve, 2021-01-01 → 2026-07-08
Does it hold up on unseen data?
We split the history chronologically — first 70% vs last 30% — and score both windows separately. A strategy that only works on the window it was designed around is memorizing the past, not finding an edge. This configuration lost money on the unseen window — the full-history number overstates it.
Run it yourself — change anything
Open this exact strategy in the studio with every parameter editable, or replay it with your own balance and dates in the free backtester.
Trend Magic on other coins
- AAVE+700%
- ADA+59%
- ALGO+40%
- APT-22%
- ARB-25%
- ATOM+188%
- AVAX+91%
- AXS-3%
- BNB-50%
- DOGE+27%
- DOT-35%
- EGLD+159%
- ETC+177%
- ETH+5%
- FET+1139%
- FIL-4%
- FLOW+81%
- GRT+317%
- HBAR+87%
- ICP+75%
- IMX+598%
- INJ+198%
- JUP+59%
- LDO+232%
- LINK+118%
- LTC+20%
- MANA+545%
- MATIC+245%
- MKR+213%
- NEAR+300%
- OP+166%
- PEPE+60%
- RENDER+42%
- RUNE+193%
- SAND+674%
- SEI+44%
- SHIB+111%
- SOL+14%
- SUI+154%
- THETA+483%
- TIA+204%
- TON-5%
- TRX+114%
- UNI+188%
- VET+270%
- WIF+190%
- XLM+137%
- XRP+182%
- XTZ+11%
Other strategies on BTC
Auto-generated from public exchange data with default strategy parameters. Backtests are hypothetical; results describe the stated past period only and are not predictions or financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.