Backtesting basics
Is backtesting accurate?
A well-built backtest is accurate about the past and silent about the future. If the engine models fees, slippage and only uses information available at each bar, its numbers faithfully describe how the rules would have traded that period. What it cannot promise is that the next period behaves like the last one.
Accuracy problems come in two layers: engine bugs (lookahead, unrealistic fills, repainting indicators) that make even the past wrong, and interpretation errors (curve-fitting, cherry-picked windows) that make a correct past misleading. The first layer is the platform's job; the second is what robustness scoring, walk-forward analysis and out-of-sample tests exist to catch.
The fastest answer is a test
Most 'does X work?' questions take a minute to answer empirically — on real data, with an out-of-sample check, free.
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Educational content, not financial advice. Backtested and historical figures describe past periods only; past performance does not guarantee future results.