Basi del backtesting
Which timeframe should I backtest — 1h, 4h or daily?
Start with daily bars. They have the most history per unit of noise, the smallest fee-and-slippage impact per unit of profit, and results that survive imperfect execution. Intraday timeframes multiply trade counts, which multiplies costs — a strategy that looks great on 15-minute bars before fees is often unprofitable after them.
Move down in timeframe only when the strategy's edge genuinely lives there (e.g. a volatility breakout that resolves within hours), and re-test fee sensitivity every step down. A rule of thumb: if halving your assumed fees flips the strategy from losing to winning, the edge is too thin for that timeframe.
La risposta più rapida è un test
La maggior parte delle domande "X funziona?" si risponde empiricamente in un minuto — su dati reali, con controllo out-of-sample, gratis.
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Contenuto educativo, non consulenza finanziaria. Le cifre da backtest e storiche descrivono solo periodi passati; i rendimenti passati non garantiscono risultati futuri.