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Marktstruktur

Trend

A persistent directional drift in price — up, down, or sideways.

A trend is the dominant directional bias of price over some look-back window. The textbook Dow definition is structural: an uptrend is a sequence of higher highs and higher lows; a downtrend is lower lows and lower highs; everything else is a range.

There are many quantitative proxies for trend: slope of a moving average, sign of ADX-weighted directional indicators, regression slope, fraction of bars closing higher than they opened. Different definitions disagree at the edges — this matters when designing trend filters for backtests.

Trend is timeframe-dependent. The same instrument can be in a daily uptrend, a 4-hour range, and a 5-minute downtrend simultaneously. Multi-timeframe analysis explicitly reconciles these views.

Wie Noon Barbari Trend nutzt

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Trend-following strategies

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