What if?

Order Block (SMC) · BTC/USDT

Replayed on 1d bars from Jul 11, 2025 Jul 11, 2026

Starting balance
$1000.00
Today
$957.47
Return
-4.25%
Trades
4

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Robustness scorecard

Is this a real edge, or just curve-fit? Our verdict from a deflated-Sharpe and white-noise test.

C
70/100
Verdict
Likely overfit / curve-fit
Deflated Sharpe
25%
probability of a true edge
vs random walk
51th pct
p = 0.747

Single-pass backtest — deflated Sharpe accounts for one trial; it is not a full parameter-sweep overfitting probability (PBO). Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Price & trades

Every position the strategy opened and closed, marked on the price.

▲ green = profitable round-trip, ▼ red = loss. Showing 4 trades.

Equity curve

Stats

StrategyOrder Block (SMC)
SymbolBTC/USDT
Timeframe1d
Starting balance$1000.00
Final equity$957.47
Return-4.25%
Max drawdown5.30%
Trades4

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