Shared backtest

breakout strategy · XRP/USDT

by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 1h

Return
-11.02%
Sharpe
-0.00
Max DD
+41.95%
Trades
34
Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes

Equity curve

Performance

Return-11.02%
Sharpe-0.00
Max drawdown+41.95%
Trades34
Win rate—

Validation

C
Score 71/100
Looks mixed. 1 red flag(s), 2 amber, 5 green.
Robustness checks · 3 flagged
  • Modest sample size
    34 trades is workable but on the small side. Confidence intervals around win-rate and Sharpe will be wide.
    Aim for 100+ trades — longer window, more symbols, or a faster timeframe.
  • Heavy drawdown
    Max drawdown of 41.9% is on the heavy side. Make sure your risk budget can absorb it.
    Consider tighter risk per trade or a volatility filter.
  • PnL hinges on a handful of trades
    Top 3 trades account for 84.0% of total gains. Without those three, the strategy barely makes money — that's fragile.
    Look for whether those 3 trades shared a unique regime; the edge may not generalise.

Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.

Verified result

Server-verified result · SHA-256 228767f758a25134… · shared 20 Sept 2026

Every number on this page is computed from the run artifacts stored on our servers — not entered by the author — and the SHA-256 fingerprint above is derived from that record, so anyone quoting this result can confirm it matches the authoritative data.

Independently verify this data →

Want a result like this?

Clone this backtest to your own account, tweak the parameters, and run it on fresh data.