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Shared backtest

buy_and_hold strategy · ADA/USDT

by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 1d

Return
-47.51%
Sharpe
-0.06
Max DD
+60.98%
Trades
95
Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes

Equity curve

Performance

Return-47.51%
Sharpe-0.06
Max drawdown+60.98%
Trades95
Win rate—

Validation

C
Score 63/100
Looks mixed. 2 red flag(s), 1 amber, 5 green.
Robustness checks · 3 flagged
  • Modest sample size
    95 trades is workable but on the small side. Confidence intervals around win-rate and Sharpe will be wide.
    Aim for 100+ trades — longer window, more symbols, or a faster timeframe.
  • Severe drawdown
    Max drawdown of 61.0% would be psychologically unworkable to trade.
    Add a tighter stop, reduce position size, or accept a smaller universe.
  • PnL hinges on a handful of trades
    Top 3 trades account for 97.3% of total gains. Without those three, the strategy barely makes money — that's fragile.
    Look for whether those 3 trades shared a unique regime; the edge may not generalise.

Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.

Verified result

Server-verified result · SHA-256 cbca77340bf8c641… · shared 8 Nov 2026

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