Shared backtest

ema_crossover strategy · ADA/USDT

by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 4h

Return
-8.88%
Sharpe
-0.01
Max DD
+55.28%
Trades
454
Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes

Equity curve

Performance

Return-8.88%
Sharpe-0.01
Max drawdown+55.28%
Trades454
Win rate—

Validation

C
Score 65/100
Looks mixed. 2 red flag(s), 0 amber, 7 green.
Robustness checks · 2 flagged
  • OOS fell off a cliff
    Out-of-sample per-trade PnL dropped to -926% of in-sample ($+1.35/trade IS → $-12.49/trade OOS). Classic overfit signature.
    Re-fit on a different window or simplify the rule tree, then re-test OOS.
  • Severe drawdown
    Max drawdown of 55.3% would be psychologically unworkable to trade.
    Add a tighter stop, reduce position size, or accept a smaller universe.

Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.

Verified result

Server-verified result · SHA-256 129c51c344d4f943… · shared 5 Nov 2026

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