Shared backtest
breakout strategy · BNB/USDT
by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 1h
Return
+7.68%
Sharpe
0.01
Max DD
+10.36%
Trades
20
Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes
Equity curve
Performance
Return+7.68%
Sharpe0.01
Max drawdown+10.36%
Trades20
Win rate—
Validation
D
Score 58/100
Looks shaky. 2 red flag(s), 1 amber, 6 green.
Robustness checks · 3 flagged
- Too few tradesOnly 20 closed round-trip(s). Below 30 trades any win-rate or Sharpe is statistically thin.Re-run on a longer history or a higher-frequency timeframe before trusting the metrics.
- OOS fell off a cliffOut-of-sample per-trade PnL dropped to -23% of in-sample ($+81.56/trade IS → $-18.58/trade OOS). Classic overfit signature.Re-fit on a different window or simplify the rule tree, then re-test OOS.
- PnL leans on top tradesTop 3 trades = 78.3% of total gains. Above the comfortable 60% threshold — edge is somewhat concentrated.Confirm the edge isn't a few outlier moves you can't count on repeating.
Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.
Verified result
Server-verified result · SHA-256 e3d2343ffad93474… · shared 2 Nov 2026
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