Shared backtest

ema_crossover strategy · BNB/USDT

by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 4h

Return
-19.54%
Sharpe
-0.01
Max DD
+45.44%
Trades
982
Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes

Equity curve

Performance

Return-19.54%
Sharpe-0.01
Max drawdown+45.44%
Trades982
Win rate

Validation

C
Score 73/100
Looks mixed. 1 red flag(s), 1 amber, 7 green.
Robustness checks · 2 flagged
  • OOS fell off a cliff
    Out-of-sample per-trade PnL dropped to -312% of in-sample ($+4.14/trade IS → $-12.94/trade OOS). Classic overfit signature.
    Re-fit on a different window or simplify the rule tree, then re-test OOS.
  • Heavy drawdown
    Max drawdown of 45.4% is on the heavy side. Make sure your risk budget can absorb it.
    Consider tighter risk per trade or a volatility filter.

Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.

Verified result

Server-verified result · SHA-256 32bdbe6e45e067f4 · shared 26 Jul 2026

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