Shared backtest
ema_crossover strategy · XRP/USDT
by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 1d
Return
+13.66%
Sharpe
0.07
Max DD
+12.68%
Trades
33
Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes
Equity curve
Performance
Return+13.66%
Sharpe0.07
Max drawdown+12.68%
Trades33
Win rate—
Validation
D
Score 58/100
Looks shaky. 2 red flag(s), 1 amber, 6 green.
Robustness checks · 3 flagged
- Modest sample size33 trades is workable but on the small side. Confidence intervals around win-rate and Sharpe will be wide.Aim for 100+ trades — longer window, more symbols, or a faster timeframe.
- Suspiciously high win-rateWin rate 100.0% on only 33 trades is statistically thin. Strategies that look this clean on small samples usually fade live.Confirm on a longer window or a held-out symbol before publishing.
- OOS fell off a cliffOut-of-sample per-trade PnL dropped to 29% of in-sample ($+67.82/trade IS → $+19.63/trade OOS). Classic overfit signature.Re-fit on a different window or simplify the rule tree, then re-test OOS.
Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.
Verified result
Server-verified result · SHA-256 3ed46f98ec7ea883… · shared 22 Jul 2026
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