Shared backtest
ema_crossover strategy · DOGE/USDT
by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 1d
Return
+21.07%
Sharpe
0.15
Max DD
+7.74%
Trades
17
Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes
Equity curve
Performance
Return+21.07%
Sharpe0.15
Max drawdown+7.74%
Trades17
Win rate—
Validation
C
Score 64/100
Looks mixed. 2 red flag(s), 1 amber, 5 green.
Robustness checks · 3 flagged
- Too few tradesOnly 17 closed round-trip(s). Below 30 trades any win-rate or Sharpe is statistically thin.Re-run on a longer history or a higher-frequency timeframe before trusting the metrics.
- Suspiciously high win-rateWin rate 82.4% on only 17 trades is statistically thin. Strategies that look this clean on small samples usually fade live.Confirm on a longer window or a held-out symbol before publishing.
- No losing months yet4 positive months in a row. Could be a hot streak; could also mean the window is too short or selectively chosen.Re-run on a longer window to confirm the smoothness holds up.
Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.
Verified result
Server-verified result · SHA-256 aa74541efe6c16c0… · shared 24 Jul 2026
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