Shared backtest

ema_crossover strategy · DOGE/USDT

by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 1h

Return

-34.65%

Sharpe

-0.01

Max DD

+54.09%

Trades

Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes

Equity curve

Performance

Return-34.65%

Sharpe-0.01

Max drawdown+54.09%

Trades51

Win rate—

Validation

Score 71/100

Looks mixed. 1 red flag(s), 2 amber, 5 green.

Robustness checks · 3 flagged

Modest sample size
51 trades is workable but on the small side. Confidence intervals around win-rate and Sharpe will be wide.
Aim for 100+ trades — longer window, more symbols, or a faster timeframe.
Severe drawdown
Max drawdown of 54.1% would be psychologically unworkable to trade.
Add a tighter stop, reduce position size, or accept a smaller universe.
PnL leans on top trades
Top 3 trades = 76.0% of total gains. Above the comfortable 60% threshold — edge is somewhat concentrated.
Confirm the edge isn't a few outlier moves you can't count on repeating.

Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.

Verified result

Server-verified result · SHA-256 aed486e028a75700… · shared 23 Sept 2026

Every number on this page is computed from the run artifacts stored on our servers — not entered by the author — and the SHA-256 fingerprint above is derived from that record, so anyone quoting this result can confirm it matches the authoritative data.

Independently verify this data →

Want a result like this?

Clone this backtest to your own account, tweak the parameters, and run it on fresh data.