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Shared backtest

buy_and_hold strategy · BNB/USDT

by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 4h

Return
-20.62%
Sharpe
-0.01
Max DD
+57.57%
Trades
29
Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes

Equity curve

Performance

Return-20.62%
Sharpe-0.01
Max drawdown+57.57%
Trades29
Win rate—

Validation

C
Score 63/100
Looks mixed. 2 red flag(s), 1 amber, 5 green.
Robustness checks · 3 flagged
  • Too few trades
    Only 29 closed round-trip(s). Below 30 trades any win-rate or Sharpe is statistically thin.
    Re-run on a longer history or a higher-frequency timeframe before trusting the metrics.
  • Severe drawdown
    Max drawdown of 57.6% would be psychologically unworkable to trade.
    Add a tighter stop, reduce position size, or accept a smaller universe.
  • PnL leans on top trades
    Top 3 trades = 62.6% of total gains. Above the comfortable 60% threshold — edge is somewhat concentrated.
    Confirm the edge isn't a few outlier moves you can't count on repeating.

Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.

Verified result

Server-verified result · SHA-256 18e5cf467ae157ba… · shared 24 Sept 2026

Every number on this page is computed from the run artifacts stored on our servers — not entered by the author — and the SHA-256 fingerprint above is derived from that record, so anyone quoting this result can confirm it matches the authoritative data.

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