Shared backtest

buy_and_hold strategy · BTC/USDT

by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 1d

Return
-59.78%
Sharpe
-0.09
Max DD
+68.27%
Trades
151
Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes

Equity curve

Performance

Return-59.78%
Sharpe-0.09
Max drawdown+68.27%
Trades151
Win rate

Validation

C
Score 70/100
Looks mixed. 2 red flag(s), 0 amber, 6 green.
Robustness checks · 2 flagged
  • Severe drawdown
    Max drawdown of 68.3% would be psychologically unworkable to trade.
    Add a tighter stop, reduce position size, or accept a smaller universe.
  • PnL hinges on a handful of trades
    Top 3 trades account for 100.0% of total gains. Without those three, the strategy barely makes money — that's fragile.
    Look for whether those 3 trades shared a unique regime; the edge may not generalise.

Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.

Verified result

Server-verified result · SHA-256 ede9d903c5fd4216 · shared 21 Jul 2026

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