Shared backtest

breakout strategy · LINK/USDT

by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 1h

Return

-26.71%

Sharpe

-0.01

Max DD

+35.92%

Trades

Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes

Equity curve

Performance

Return-26.71%

Sharpe-0.01

Max drawdown+35.92%

Trades34

Win rate—

Validation

Score 79/100

Looks decent. 0 red flag(s), 3 amber, 5 green.

Robustness checks · 3 flagged

Modest sample size
34 trades is workable but on the small side. Confidence intervals around win-rate and Sharpe will be wide.
Aim for 100+ trades — longer window, more symbols, or a faster timeframe.
Heavy drawdown
Max drawdown of 35.9% is on the heavy side. Make sure your risk budget can absorb it.
Consider tighter risk per trade or a volatility filter.
PnL leans on top trades
Top 3 trades = 65.2% of total gains. Above the comfortable 60% threshold — edge is somewhat concentrated.
Confirm the edge isn't a few outlier moves you can't count on repeating.

Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.

Verified result

Server-verified result · SHA-256 32908ae2c78b00b7… · shared 30 Jul 2026

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