Shared backtest

breakout strategy · DOGE/USDT

by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 4h

Return
+23.86%
Sharpe
0.05
Max DD
+8.31%
Trades
3
Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes

Equity curve

Performance

Return+23.86%
Sharpe0.05
Max drawdown+8.31%
Trades3
Win rate—

Validation

C
Score 73/100
Looks mixed. 2 red flag(s), 0 amber, 5 green.
Robustness checks · 2 flagged
  • Too few trades
    Only 3 closed round-trip(s). Below 30 trades any win-rate or Sharpe is statistically thin.
    Re-run on a longer history or a higher-frequency timeframe before trusting the metrics.
  • Zero negative months
    Strategy posted positive returns in every one of 7 months. Real edges produce some red months — this looks curve-fit.
    Inspect equity curve for unrealistic smoothness; consider stress-tests on different windows.

Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.

Verified result

Server-verified result · SHA-256 dd68bba2e40ebde3… · shared 1 Nov 2026

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