Shared backtest

ema_crossover strategy · ETH/USDT

by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 1h

Return

-10.19%

Sharpe

-0.01

Max DD

+24.12%

Trades

Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes

Equity curve

Performance

Return-10.19%

Sharpe-0.01

Max drawdown+24.12%

Trades91

Win rate—

Validation

Score 66/100

Looks mixed. 1 red flag(s), 2 amber, 6 green.

Robustness checks · 3 flagged

Modest sample size
91 trades is workable but on the small side. Confidence intervals around win-rate and Sharpe will be wide.
Aim for 100+ trades — longer window, more symbols, or a faster timeframe.
OOS fell off a cliff
Out-of-sample per-trade PnL dropped to -199% of in-sample ($+22.16/trade IS → $-43.99/trade OOS). Classic overfit signature.
Re-fit on a different window or simplify the rule tree, then re-test OOS.
PnL leans on top trades
Top 3 trades = 61.0% of total gains. Above the comfortable 60% threshold — edge is somewhat concentrated.
Confirm the edge isn't a few outlier moves you can't count on repeating.

Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.

Verified result

Server-verified result · SHA-256 829e55e6a74e1689… · shared 9 Nov 2026

Every number on this page is computed from the run artifacts stored on our servers — not entered by the author — and the SHA-256 fingerprint above is derived from that record, so anyone quoting this result can confirm it matches the authoritative data.

Independently verify this data →

Want a result like this?

Clone this backtest to your own account, tweak the parameters, and run it on fresh data.