Shared backtest
breakout strategy · ADA/USDT
by Noon Barbari ResearchHOUSE · 1h
Return
+40.84%
Sharpe
0.03
Max DD
+18.16%
Trades
15
Free tier · no credit card · paper-trade in minutes
Equity curve
Performance
Return+40.84%
Sharpe0.03
Max drawdown+18.16%
Trades15
Win rate—
Validation
C
Score 64/100
Looks mixed. 2 red flag(s), 1 amber, 5 green.
Robustness checks · 3 flagged
- Too few tradesOnly 15 closed round-trip(s). Below 30 trades any win-rate or Sharpe is statistically thin.Re-run on a longer history or a higher-frequency timeframe before trusting the metrics.
- No losing months yet4 positive months in a row. Could be a hot streak; could also mean the window is too short or selectively chosen.Re-run on a longer window to confirm the smoothness holds up.
- PnL hinges on a handful of tradesTop 3 trades account for 83.5% of total gains. Without those three, the strategy barely makes money — that's fragile.Look for whether those 3 trades shared a unique regime; the edge may not generalise.
Overfit / fragility grade computed by Noon Barbari's 10-check validator.
Verified result
Server-verified result · SHA-256 9ef056f42ff695d5… · shared 19 Sept 2026
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